Subsea state from topside readings

Subsea. The state you cannot see.

Subsea tree pressure estimated from topside readings, with an interval. Severe slugging flagged. The largest stable choke opening per well. Scored in simulation and on public well events against a gauge the estimator never sees; the results stay here. Never writes to the choke.

The family

Six products. One engine.

How they fit together

Identify. Estimate. Bound.

Identify

The well's own reduced model, from a normal window.

Bank

Estimate

Tree pressure and holdup with intervals; the slug early.

Tree · Slug

Bound

The stable choke, the what-ifs, the margin. Proposals only.

Choke · Lift · Hydrate
The engine

Reduced well–flowline–riser models identified per well; extended and unscented Kalman filters and constrained moving-horizon estimation with holdup bounds

Wavepin estimates single-phase pipelines. Tieback estimates two-phase wells, flowlines and risers.

4.3 bartree-pressure error on an unseen well geometry (soft sensors 39 bar)
47 %of true tree pressure inside the 90 % band there: not calibrated
43.9 minslug alarm after onset, median
100 %of wells not identifiable from a quiet window

Tournament t001, 1500 held-out simulated wells (deepwater and gas-lifted tiebacks; a shallow satellite held out as unseen); the truth is a six-state riser model of a different structure from the estimator's. Plus 315 real instances from a public well-event dataset, tree gauge hidden. The bar and the result are on the proof page. All the numbers →

The film

The whole story in 82 seconds

Where it fits

Built for the assets you run

Deepwater tiebacks

Long flowlines, one deck gauge.

Satellite wells

Shallow water, unstable flow.

Gas-lifted wells

Long flowlines, casing heading.

FPSO topsides

Separators and slug catchers.

The rest of the harness

Same engine, other assets.

All of the Oil Operations Harness ↗

Tieback — Subsea. The state you cannot see.